I saw an interesting tweet the other day from the head of Coke’s research team, Stan Sthanunathan, that said:
Need to balance between macro level mix models and micro level attribution models
The funny thing about that tweet is that I’m going through that exact ‘balancing’ process right now - so the comment reached out from the Twitter stream and grabbed my eye.
One of the processes we run is market mix modeling in order to understand where our marketing projects impacted sales. The models helps us by telling us the sales contribution in percentages for each channel (e.g. social media).
Those percentages then help us plan and allocate funds for the next year.
But models take data, a lot of data. And they take time to run on the data sets so our market mix modeling (MMM) is only run once a year.
In the interim, during the marketing projects, we try to look at the micro level attribution data to tell us how our specific projects are doing. That means going one step below the channel level and looking at what impact each campaign is having and whether it is meeting the expectations from the overall MMM predictions.
In social media, for example, we might analyze how a Facebook promotion is doing or how some paid Twitter are performing.
The key is to triangulate the data between what we expect the channel to be driving and what the micro attribution data is telling us as indicator of marketing efficiency.
Sometimes that means we rely on proxy data for micro attributions - like engagement or form completions - where the data isn’t financial metrics but we know it has a strong correlation with sales or subscriptions.
So MMM doesn’t replace micro attribution analyses, or vice versa. They both complement each other.
The key to balancing these projects is to match MMM, micro attribution and campaign measurements to tie all of the business intelligence to a measurement framework.
The measurement framework helps tie metrics to business planning to campaign development and hopefully sets expectations across the business. It also ensures the overarching measurement practices are well-thought-through and that the measurement plan hopefully rises above politics or loud-speaking vendors looking for some of the pie.